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DMP Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 2:20 a.m.

In Response To: DMP Rollout (Stick)

As I said, I see the argument, but it doesn't seem convincing to me. 4/2 is not exactly busting the board "low." Even in the favorable scenarios when we hit immediately, get hit back immediately, and pick up the second checker, it's still not a slam dunk to close out both checkers when we have two dead checkers and a gap on a high (yes, high) point.

Furthermore 4/2 comes at a cost of wastage that we may regret in the scenarios where we fail to pick up the second checker.

As for not ever rolling the ace or deuce, my point was that while that's possible, even in the worst case the cost seems rather low. Obviously, being driven to playing 4/off later is not good, but I don't see it as being that much worse as playing 4/2 now, and it's a rather unlikely parlay in any case. Whereas the chance of opening a lower point has obvious benefits.

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