[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

A short strong RO

Posted By: Albert Steg
Date: Tuesday, 5 January 2016, at 1:13 p.m.

In Response To: A short strong RO (neilkaz)

Thanks very much for clarifying the position and the XG setting that makes the difference -- it's really helpful.

Looking back at the book, Robertie estimates that White's chances are "about 5%" after being hit, depending what black rolled. XG++ has it up around 12-14% , as for example below, if I'm doing this right . . . so that might account for much of the .1 discrepancy.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 75
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 109
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BBBBB-----AC----Acbbbcb-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 14.12% (G:2.77% B:0.09%) 15.23% (G:2.63% B:0.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 85.88% (G:3.64% B:0.07%) 84.77% (G:3.63% B:0.06%)
Cubeless Equities -0.726 -1.411
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:-0.692
Redouble/Beaver:-2.000 (-1.308)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+1.692)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 30.4%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.