| |
BGonline.org Forums
Repeating position and thoughts
Posted By: Florin Popa In Response To: Missed doubles and PR (Florin Popa)
Date: Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 11:09 p.m.
I have built a position where white is in bearoff with 2 checkers off, owes the cube on 2 and has a 5 (1-5) points board while black has a 4 (1-4)points board. Both players have 1 checker on the bar. The cost in MWC in a 7 points match looks as following: - white not redoubling -1,859% error - white dancing against a 4 point board -2,025% luck - black dancing against the 5 points +3,803 luck The sum of the luck doesn't match exactly the MWC lost, a difference of 0,081% appears, I don't know why. If white doesn't have access to the cube the luck is obvious 0 so I would say the luck is created in some way by the cube, is not related to the probability of dancing.
Most players agree that any error should count in the PR (for me is like a mark about how you play) but another my argument against this is that if you make a very bad conceptual mistake in an already lost position you are not ding because no impact on the MWC. Try to play a 1p match as bad as you can and you see at some point you stop making mistakes. In conclusion I think the missed doubles need some adjustements when there are more then 1 with same status of the cube, how is difficult to say, maybe considering only the biggest error as Joe Russell suggested in the 2009. Playing for PR it means you should be aware about these repeatable (full and almost) situations, playing to win you don't need to.
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.