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Effective errors and marginal doubles

Posted By: Florin Popa
Date: Sunday, 25 September 2016, at 1:41 a.m.

In Response To: Effective errors and marginal doubles (Bob Koca)

I agree PR shouldn't because is designed to measure the level of play not considering the opponent. Comparing the MWC lost you can see in part the interaction but I would like to see at least here consecutive missed doubles calculated differently because the impact on the result is clearly not the sum, not independent errors.

An idea can be to increment the MWC lost only when a transition from the current state occurs, if not (luck is 0 in case of repeating position) the max is calculated. In the end in the real game I think we can say that doubling properly is an opportunity to increase your chances and not that you lose something not doing it as the XG model is implemented. Players would like to know why they lost, maybe other improvements can be done, luck cost to consider the cube value for example.

Messages In This Thread

• Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
  Chris Bray -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 8:52 a.m.
  • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 11:12 a.m.
    • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
      Chris Bray -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 5:37 p.m.
      • Equity of that situation
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:17 p.m.
      • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
        Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:46 p.m.
      • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
        Florin Popa -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 10:56 p.m.
        • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
          Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 7:42 a.m.
          • Size of the errors
            Florin Popa -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 9:56 a.m.
            • Size of the errors
              Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 10:08 a.m.
            • Size of the errors
              Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 10:42 a.m.
              • Size of the errors
                Florin Popa -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 12:30 p.m.
              • Effective error rate
                Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 20 September 2016, at 1:18 p.m.
              • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                Florin Popa -- Friday, 23 September 2016, at 2:08 p.m.
                • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                  Bob Koca -- Friday, 23 September 2016, at 5:29 p.m.
                  • Effective errors and marginal doubles
                    Florin Popa -- Sunday, 25 September 2016, at 1:41 a.m.
  • Backgammon in the Wind - Erratum
    neilkaz -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 6:49 p.m.
    • Rollout - 4 ply huge
      KenB -- Thursday, 22 September 2016, at 4:00 a.m.