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Beauty contest

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Saturday, 17 December 2016, at 8:40 p.m.

In Response To: Beauty contest (Timothy Chow)

21/15 13/10* looks perfectly fine to me with our stronger board. Opp can't really return loose hit from his bar anchor, so only some 1s hitting our rearmost blot are good for him. In spite of our 4+1 blots, it doesn't look risky. After 4 dances we should have a sound double. Clearly we're ahead.

After 24/21 12/6 or 21/12 I'm not quite sure we have advantage, so these plays looks inferior.

On the other side, 4-blotting that early is often a mistake, and we're 5-blotting here.

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