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4 ply Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 2 March 2017, at 2:25 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

As I expected slightly stronger play does a bit better here.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 60
7 point match
pip: 112
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBB-BBB--A-A----A---Bdagb-:1:1:1:00:1:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.983% (G:4.932% B:0.176%) 79.612% (G:5.162% B:0.196%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.017% (G:3.747% B:0.031%) 20.388% (G:4.281% B:0.030%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5736 +1.1954
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.9511 (-0.0489)±0.0029 (+0.9482..+0.9541)
Redouble/Take:+1.0289 (+0.0289)±0.0040 (+1.0249..+1.0329)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4567472
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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