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RO and close varient

Posted By: Sean Garber
Date: Friday, 31 March 2017, at 12:59 a.m.

In Response To: RO and close varient (Timothy Chow)

"Can you post your rollout?"

No. I tried to post a position on this site before and was not smart enough to figure out how to do it. It can't be that complicated, but I'm not motivated enough to find the solution.

""100.0% confidence" is, of course, a totally irrelevant number for the question you're asking. What matters is the size of the confidence interval."

Of course, the +/- is what is important here. I did my rollouts and did not save the results. What I remember is that it was a drop by .030 and 100.0% confidence, so I didn't do more rollouts. I posted the 100.0% confidence number because that implies that the +/- number can't be that large. My main point about the difference between 3-ply and 4-ply rollouts in this position is still valid at least for me.

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