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Hypotheisis - 5-point holding game cube action

Posted By: bluedice
Date: Monday, 5 February 2018, at 5:24 p.m.

In Response To: Hypotheisis - 5-point holding game cube action (ah_clem)

According to XGR++ this 'normal' looking 5 Point Holding Game position with the defender 15% behind in the race is a borderline D/T.

There is a heuristic already out there which if merory serves me right, for similar structures, the doubling point for money games comes at a 15% lead and 3 checkers remaining on the mid point.

Please correct me if I am wrong.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 114 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 99 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBbC-C----C---acdbba---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	69.95% (G:1.98% B:0.05%)	70.39% (G:1.85% B:0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	30.05% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)	29.61% (G:1.43% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.403	+0.824
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.656 (-0.002)
Double/Take:	+0.658
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.342)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Hypotheisis - 5-point holding game cube action
  ah_clem -- Monday, 5 February 2018, at 4:51 p.m.
  • Hypotheisis - 5-point holding game cube action
    bluedice -- Monday, 5 February 2018, at 5:24 p.m.
  • Hypotheisis - 5-point holding game cube action
    Igor -- Tuesday, 6 February 2018, at 2:51 a.m.