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6 Away - 10 Away Redouble --9 v11 Bearoff - ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Steven E. Carey
Date: Saturday, 17 February 2018, at 3:09 p.m.

In Response To: 6 Away - 10 Away Redouble --9 v11 Bearoff (Steven E. Carey)





White is Mrfunnybunny

score: 1
pip: 39
11 point match
pip: 31
score: 5

Blue is PRO_GoldenPoint
XGID=-ABABC-------------bca-cb-:2:1:1:00:5:1:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 92.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 92.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 7.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 7.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.847 +1.074
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.933 (-0.067)±0.000 (+0.933..+0.933)
Redouble/Take:+1.001 (+0.001)±0.000 (+1.001..+1.001)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
93312 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 58918962
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 45.0 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Right on the borderline. I was surprised just how finely balanced this was. I can't claim any deep insight in the moment about the redouble. This was an online match which are played very quickly. Doug is a better player than I am and I thought this was a great pressure redouble. He did pass in the end.

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