[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 23 March 2007, at 5:05 p.m.

In Response To: Exception to the rule? (Stick)

Mary saying Stick stole her schtick?! Well that's Stick's schtick, stealing other's schtick! I have none of my own material, I steal it allllll =) The 4 prime combined with no shots is powerful enough here to overthrow the *rule* by a landslide. [yes Chuck, we know, the live cube isn't SS yet ... and I'll lengthen these rollouts as soon as someone starts betting me $$$ how they're going to end up, and I'll give HUGE odds on this type] The fact is if you hit with 24/17* you leave about half the deck on a quick count as return shots. You're much happier to play your 4 prime v. his 3 prime since he'll have to roll a perfecta to extend his and you should have time to split or attack.

Money Game
149
157
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/7 6/5 0.023
1.0% 17.1% 51.1% 48.9% 17.9% 0.9%
Live cube rollout: 0.037
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.015 ±0.018, - live cube: 0.037 ±0.041. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 21238 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 24/17* -0.102 (-0.125)
0.7% 13.6% 49.0% 51.0% 18.9% 1.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.107
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.077 ±0.019, - live cube: -0.107 ±0.038. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 20494 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.