[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

ERs at recent Monte Carlo World Championships

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 27 April 2009, at 9:14 p.m.

In Response To: ERs at recent Monte Carlo World Championships (David Rockwell)

IMO it's difficult to quantify something like this for humans. For example, I suspect that these WC values are higher than typical for the players involved. It's late in the week (fatigue); there is a lot of pressure both from the importance of the match and the rowdy crowd in the next room.

Trusting players' tabulations of their own overall error rates is even more suspect. It's very easy to rationalize a bad result and throw it out of the tabulation.

Additionally, there is likely a rather large variance on any individual human's performance (some of the reasons stated above). I think the GNU method (and SW-2 method) of NOT including forced moves leads to smaller variance -- obviously an advantage over SW-3,-4.

FWIW, your 6-7 estimate for an average open player for all weekend Ty matches is a bit high in my opinion. Most of us when answering this question weigh in our own error rate (probably with much too high of a weight). Even though you likely adjusted from your own ER to get 6-7, I suspect you undervalued your actual ranking.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.