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Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 2 -- Be Sure to Look at Position 1 First
Posted By: Rich Munitz In Response To: Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 2 -- Be Sure to Look at Position 1 First (Rich Munitz)
Date: Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 12:30 a.m.
Having just read Joe's post, I see that I had the score backwards thinking the 2-away player was on-roll.
With the scores reversed, it changes everything. The takepoint is higher and there are gammon considerations. Given that the wins I came up with seem to be a few percent above the takepoint at this score, but there have to be at least 10% gammon wins for white, it now looks like a solid pass.
I now have to wonder whether problem #1 was a trick question. Does any play in that position give a take? If not, then there is no correct answer. In which case I stick with my play as I believe that no volunteered shot and 1 blot in the homeboard is most likely to deter the cube from being offered in the first place.
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