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Cube error rates

Posted By: Frank Berger
Date: Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:19 p.m.

In Response To: Cube error rates (Gregg Cattanach)

Your analysis of repeating missed doubles implies that each opportunity you had to double was the same decision. It WAS NOT. Both players had rolled and moved, creating a new position.

That's right, but nevertheless IMHO Joe's point is still true. If I repeatedly miss a .05 double I add upp an unreasonable error rate. IMHO it is totally irrelevant whether the situation is static or due some fairy dust it stays in that area. If I miss 25 times a 0.05 double I lose in error rates more than a point and that is ridicolous. And the early cube is penalized just once.

IMHO the point is not: - that this isn't a repeated error - whether play for winning or play for ER is the goal.

but how to calculate the ER in such cases. I have to admit that I don't have a good idea to calculate it but I would be thankful for ideas...

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