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BGonline.org Forums
Cube error rates
Posted By: Frank Berger In Response To: Cube error rates (Gregg Cattanach)
Date: Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:19 p.m.
Your analysis of repeating missed doubles implies that each opportunity you had to double was the same decision. It WAS NOT. Both players had rolled and moved, creating a new position.
That's right, but nevertheless IMHO Joe's point is still true. If I repeatedly miss a .05 double I add upp an unreasonable error rate. IMHO it is totally irrelevant whether the situation is static or due some fairy dust it stays in that area. If I miss 25 times a 0.05 double I lose in error rates more than a point and that is ridicolous. And the early cube is penalized just once.
IMHO the point is not: - that this isn't a repeated error - whether play for winning or play for ER is the goal.
but how to calculate the ER in such cases. I have to admit that I don't have a good idea to calculate it but I would be thankful for ideas...
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