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Cube error rates

Posted By: Gregg Cattanach
Date: Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:22 p.m.

In Response To: Cube error rates (Coolrey)

There is only one exception and that is that you should double early if there is a reasonable chance your opponent is going to PASS that double even more incorrectly than your bad double was in the first place.

A lot of people have floated this idea. Isn't this really just rationalization of your bad cube decision, though? Let's say you've correctly judged your opponent to be a 'Colonel WhiteFlag' (a wimp regarding taking cubes). If you double early and get a pass, you get 1 point. If you wait and double ON-TIME (when it is a correct D/T), then he'll be even MORE likely to pass, as his position is now weaker, and you still get your 1 point without making a bad double. In the first instance, you take the risk that he'll actually take. In the second instance, you are happy with either his take or pass decision.

The main reason that you don't double early is that you effectively have no market losing sequences. Thus your chance of improving and shooting past the proper doubling window is very small. If you improve, you'll generally get to a proper double that your Colonel WhiteFlag will drop, anyway.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube error rates
  Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 1:37 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Seth -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:22 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    phlegethos -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:33 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:08 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:23 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 8:45 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:57 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Marty Storer -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:05 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:13 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Marty Storer -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:12 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:22 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Stick -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:41 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 12:24 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:17 p.m.
              • Cube error rates (one correction)
                Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:27 p.m.
                • Cube error rates (one correction)
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:59 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates (one correction)
                    MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:25 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Chiva Tafazzoli -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:09 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Gregg Cattanach -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:47 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Frank Berger -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:19 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:22 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:28 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:36 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:47 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Jake Jacobs -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:35 a.m.
                • uhhhhh, kinda?
                  Coolrey -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:23 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:52 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:37 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:43 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:00 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:41 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Frank Berger -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
          • pointer, please
            Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:39 a.m.
            • pointer, please
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:57 a.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:51 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 10:33 a.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:52 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:13 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:41 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 6:00 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:53 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 1:44 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:04 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    garyo -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Matt Reklaitis -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:48 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:56 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 8:35 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:52 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:42 a.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 11:47 a.m.
      • Cube error rates
        misja -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 2:55 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        playBunny -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 5:12 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:38 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:10 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 2:28 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:41 a.m.
  • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
    dlevy -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:02 p.m.
    • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
      Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:31 p.m.
      • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 9:16 p.m.
        • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
          Mislav Radica -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 11:21 p.m.
    • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
      MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:47 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:08 a.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 12:27 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 1:58 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:21 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:35 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:23 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 6:10 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:25 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:43 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:39 a.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:54 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 12:11 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Fabrice Liardet -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 9:50 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:31 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:05 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 6:49 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:23 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:25 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:55 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Matt Reklaitis -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:13 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:14 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:18 a.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 1:36 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:06 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:27 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 2:48 a.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 2:51 a.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 4:14 a.m.
                    • Cube error rates
                      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:01 a.m.
                      • Cube error rates
                        Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:35 a.m.
                        • Cube error rates
                          Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 11:09 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Frank Berger -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 8:13 p.m.
                    • Cube error rates
                      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 1:10 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Jason Lee -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:58 p.m.
    • A discrete random walk
      Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:04 p.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:40 p.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:02 p.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:07 p.m.
          • A discrete random walk
            Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:14 p.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 4:03 a.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 6:36 a.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Sam Pottle -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:38 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:05 a.m.
  • I think I understand it now (request for review)
    Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:39 p.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:24 p.m.
      • I think I understand it now (request for review)
        Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:45 p.m.
        • I think I understand it now (request for review)
          Neil Robins -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 7:18 p.m.
          • I think I understand it now (request for review)
            Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:23 p.m.
            • I think I understand it now (request for review)
              Neil Robins -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:00 a.m.
              • I think I understand it now (request for review)
                Frank Berger -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 3:15 p.m.
        • I think I understand it now (request for review)
          MaX -- Monday, 27 July 2009, at 10:38 a.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      playBunny -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:31 p.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:41 p.m.