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BGonline.org Forums
Cube error rates
Posted By: Frank Berger In Response To: Cube error rates (Maik Stiebler)
Date: Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
No not at all, but still:
if you miss a double several times, how can it be a worse error than if doubling at the first move? Does anybody say this is intuitive?The question is not whether the missed doubles are errors but to come up with a reasonable measurement of cube errors.
Let's take an more extreme example. Let's say it's a backgame or a prime vs. prime, something difficult to judge and not cubing is an 0.2 error and our player misses it three times in a row. Now he hast lost 0.6 in equity? Or 5 times in a row. He had given up a full point? How that relates to being a favorite still? If he cubes finally what has he really lost? There are better mathematicains called than me, but I'm sure the answer will not be 1.0
IMHO a cube decision is peculiar in that you can give the cube only once (ignoring recubes so far) which needs a special treatment.
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