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A discrete random walk

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:02 p.m.

In Response To: A discrete random walk (Frank Berger)

So my possible lost will be limited to the maximum market lost.

Sounds convincing.

But when I postpone my double several times I could get a penalty higher than the max lost due to a market loser.

Yes, if the random walk is teasing you, returning to the spot where you should double, but don't, unusually often, you could get a high penalty.

And again. Lets assume I postpone my double for one roll and I'm 0.2 better off when I double now. Can someone try to calculate what the postponed double costs?

I don't get that, as I'm also tired now, and maybe we two would be better advised anyway to take this to Hardy's forum and remove an unnecessary language barrier. No one here will miss us ;-)

How much can I loose if I never double? ... If I add several penalties due to not doubling I can earn a greater penalty.

Yes, you can. On average, everything will be fine though.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube error rates
  Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 1:37 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Seth -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:22 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    phlegethos -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:33 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:08 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:23 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 8:45 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:57 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Marty Storer -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:05 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:13 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Marty Storer -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:12 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:22 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Stick -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:41 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 12:24 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:17 p.m.
              • Cube error rates (one correction)
                Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:27 p.m.
                • Cube error rates (one correction)
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:59 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates (one correction)
                    MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:25 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Chiva Tafazzoli -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:09 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Gregg Cattanach -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:47 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Frank Berger -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:19 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:22 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:28 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:36 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:47 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Jake Jacobs -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:35 a.m.
                • uhhhhh, kinda?
                  Coolrey -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:23 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:52 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:37 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:43 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:00 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:41 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Frank Berger -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
          • pointer, please
            Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:39 a.m.
            • pointer, please
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:57 a.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 8:51 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 10:33 a.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:52 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:13 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:41 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 6:00 p.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:53 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 1:44 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:54 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:04 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    garyo -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Matt Reklaitis -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:48 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:56 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 8:35 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 7:52 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 7:42 a.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 11:47 a.m.
      • Cube error rates
        misja -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 2:55 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        playBunny -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 5:12 p.m.
  • Cube error rates
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 12:38 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 1:10 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 2:28 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:41 a.m.
  • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
    dlevy -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 3:02 p.m.
    • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
      Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 4:31 p.m.
      • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 9:16 p.m.
        • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
          Mislav Radica -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 11:21 p.m.
    • What is the purpose of EMG? Of Snowie error rate? [longish]
      MaX -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:47 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:08 a.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 12:27 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 1:58 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:21 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:35 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 2:23 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 6:10 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:25 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:43 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:39 a.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:54 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 12:11 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Fabrice Liardet -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 9:50 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:31 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Joe Russell -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Matt Reklaitis -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:05 a.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 6:49 a.m.
  • Cube error rates
    Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:23 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:25 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:55 p.m.
        • Cube error rates
          Matt Reklaitis -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:13 p.m.
          • Cube error rates
            Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:14 a.m.
            • Cube error rates
              Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 10:18 a.m.
              • Cube error rates
                Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 1:36 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:06 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:27 p.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 2:48 a.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 2:51 a.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 4:14 a.m.
                    • Cube error rates
                      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:01 a.m.
                      • Cube error rates
                        Joe Russell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:35 a.m.
                        • Cube error rates
                          Bob Koca -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 11:09 a.m.
                • Cube error rates
                  Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
                  • Cube error rates
                    Frank Berger -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 8:13 p.m.
                    • Cube error rates
                      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 1:10 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Jason Lee -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
      • Cube error rates
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:58 p.m.
    • A discrete random walk
      Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:04 p.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Frank Berger -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 10:40 p.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:02 p.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:07 p.m.
          • A discrete random walk
            Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 11:14 p.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 4:03 a.m.
        • A discrete random walk
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 6:36 a.m.
      • A discrete random walk
        Sam Pottle -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:38 p.m.
    • Cube error rates
      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:05 a.m.
  • I think I understand it now (request for review)
    Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:39 p.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:24 p.m.
      • I think I understand it now (request for review)
        Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:45 p.m.
        • I think I understand it now (request for review)
          Neil Robins -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 7:18 p.m.
          • I think I understand it now (request for review)
            Frank Berger -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 11:23 p.m.
            • I think I understand it now (request for review)
              Neil Robins -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 10:00 a.m.
              • I think I understand it now (request for review)
                Frank Berger -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 3:15 p.m.
        • I think I understand it now (request for review)
          MaX -- Monday, 27 July 2009, at 10:38 a.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      playBunny -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 3:31 p.m.
    • I think I understand it now (request for review)
      Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 7:41 p.m.