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Cube error rates

Posted By: Frank Berger
Date: Friday, 24 July 2009, at 9:14 a.m.

In Response To: Cube error rates (Matt Reklaitis)

>> Because I can lose my market only once, why should I penalized several

:> times, if I postpone my double?

>I think because several times the dice rewarded you with a non market losing
: sequence. When my opponent takes it's equity is greater than -1. When he drops it's -1 so having not a market looser is not a reward. The sequence would be better if I had doubled, but a market looser gains equity.

> If the calculated equity difference between not doubling and doubling was
:0.2, then, on average, you should lose 0.2 by not doubling. No. You gain .2 by doubling now. What do you gain if you double at the next roll? Isn't it the same 0.2 (assume the position is static to make reasoning easier). Where did I lost something (other than if I overshoot, but that is usually far less than you gain by doubling)

>> If on average you are not losing 0.2, then the calculated equity difference
:> was wrong to begin with. If I gain .2 by doubling doesn't imply I loose something by not doubling, only if I never double this would hold true.

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