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Cube error rates

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Friday, 24 July 2009, at 2:27 p.m.

In Response To: Cube error rates (Frank Berger)

Kind of the same story with the wife example. It seems your vase is not worth $1000 after restoration, but closer to $2000. Assume the true value is exactly $2000. So if wife called first no-sell a blunder, she does not know what she's talking about. The same can happen with bots, but I think that's a problem we can't begin to solve in this thread.

First day: no blunder

Second day: $100 no-sell blunder

Third day: $100 sell blunder

Total cost: $200=$2100-$1900

Note that your optimal result without blundering would have been larger than what you could expect. That's because you were lucky to be offered $2100. I don't readily see any analogy to backgammon luck there.

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