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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 1:46 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 4th roll decision (Chuck Bower)

Top two plays so close that a cointoss could be appropriate.

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Player2 to play 62


1O ' ' ' '5X '3X2X ' '6O

 ' ' '2X '5O '3O ' ' '3X

Pip counts: JellyFish 153, Player2 156
Position ID: 4HPDAQbgc/ADIA Match ID: cAkrAAAAAAAA

• Player2 moves 13/5

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/5 -0.1444
0.42780.12120.0148-0.57220.20350.0250 -0.1444 -0.1444
0.00130.00330.0016-0.00130.00370.0018 0.0027 0.0027
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4394 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868869504 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/18 13/11 -0.1451 ( -0.0006)
0.42750.10420.0126-0.57250.19360.0203 -0.1451 -0.1451
0.00110.00290.0012-0.00110.00370.0015 0.0023 0.0023
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4395 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868869504 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 24/22 13/7 -0.1563 ( -0.0118)
0.42190.12180.0147-0.57810.19840.0282 -0.1563 -0.1563
0.00200.00560.0025-0.00200.00690.0038 0.0041 0.0041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1278 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868869504 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/11 13/7 -0.1573 ( -0.0129)
0.42130.12230.0133-0.57870.22170.0280 -0.1573 -0.1573
0.00170.00420.0016-0.00170.00570.0028 0.0034 0.0034
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2040 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868869504 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 2 24/18 8/6 -0.1514 ( -0.0070)
0.4243 0.0612 0.0010 - 0.5757 0.1473 0.0027
6 2 13/11 8/2 -0.1648 ( -0.0204)
0.4176 0.0789 0.0014 - 0.5824 0.1633 0.0042
7 2 24/22 8/2 -0.1739 ( -0.0295)
0.4130 0.0696 0.0013 - 0.5870 0.1777 0.0038
8 2 13/7 8/6 -0.1763 ( -0.0319)
0.4119 0.0790 0.0012 - 0.5881 0.1534 0.0040
9 2 8/6 8/2 -0.2694 ( -0.1250)
0.3653 0.0717 0.0012 - 0.6347 0.1891 0.0072

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