BGonline.org Forums

31P-53P-21 - Rollout

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Wednesday, 21 April 2010, at 5:35 a.m.

In Response To: 31P-53P-21? (mtuhtan)

After 20k trials, top two moves are still too close. As I have many other positions to roll out, I won't extend it at this time, so for now - too close to call :)

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159

Money session Jacoby Beaver

pip: 163 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-b---BD-B---eE---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:12:0:0:3:0:10

to play 12

1.	Rollout1	24/23 13/11	eq: +0,178
	Player: Opponent: 54,12% (G:17,00% B:0,93%) 45,88% (G:13,77% B:0,77%) Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,172...+0,184) Duration: 4 hours 12 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/11 6/5	eq: +0,175 (-0,003)
	Player: Opponent: 54,09% (G:17,26% B:1,03%) 45,91% (G:14,23% B:0,92%) Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,169...+0,181) Duration: 4 hours 04 minutes
3.	Rollout2	24/21	eq: +0,162 (-0,017)
	Player: Opponent: 53,77% (G:16,06% B:0,90%) 46,23% (G:13,39% B:0,68%) Conf: ± 0,006 (+0,156...+0,168) Duration: 3 hours 34 minutes
4.	Rollout3	13/10	eq: +0,157 (-0,021)
	Player: Opponent: 53,59% (G:17,39% B:1,02%) 46,41% (G:14,62% B:0,97%) Conf: ± 0,011 (+0,146...+0,168) Duration: 2 hours 31 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Search interval: Large 2 14240 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Search interval: Large 3 7120 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13

Here is Stick's rollout with 3 candidate plays, and after 5k trials his results are similar to mine.

Messages In This Thread

• 31P-53P-21?
  mtuhtan -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 10:02 p.m.
  • 31P-53P-21?
    Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 12:12 a.m.
  • 31P-53P-21?
    myshlev -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 6:26 a.m.
  • 31P-53P-21?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 2:23 p.m.
  • 31P-53P-21 - Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 21 April 2010, at 5:35 a.m.