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OTB, RO's and burgers

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:41 p.m.

In Response To: Maybe I need to use something...recube from LA Masters Semis (neilkaz)

OTB my adjusted pip count had me (Black) as 1 pip behind which agrees with GNU. That made me think this was a low .9's money take so I felt this was a bare take at score (knowing my TP was between 26 and 27%) I accepted and Malcolm failed to bear off in 3 rolls while I managed to and took a 9-2 lead. Those would be the last points I won this match, however.

For money this actually is a pass. I think what is happening is that White gets off in three rolls too often so there's not as much varience as I'd expected.




is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 17
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 18
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=---AAAA------------aa-aaa-:0:0:1:D:0:0:3:0:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.33% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.67% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.33% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.67% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.547
Double:+1.093
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.735 (-0.265)
Double/Take:+1.027 (+0.027)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99977902
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.000 (+0.734...+0.735)
Confidence Double: ± 0.000 (+1.026...+1.027)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2.2 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

Clear Whopper to take AtS.




is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 17
13 point match
pip: 18
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=---AAAA------------aa-aaa-:1:1:1:D:2:5:0:13:10
double to 4 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.33% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.67% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.33% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.67% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.547
Redouble:+1.167
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.786 (-0.214)
Redouble/Take:+1.150 (+0.150)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99977902
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.000 (+0.786...+0.787)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.000 (+1.150...+1.151)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1.5 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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