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think of it this way

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 19 September 2010, at 6:29 p.m.

In Response To: Chuck, I'm not clear on one issue (Stanley E. Richards)

I would like to know the winning percentage of those teams which win the time of possession vs. those who do not win the time of possession.

I don't know the answer, but if we did, TRichard's point is: do teams win because they control the time of possession or is time of possession just a consequence of having the lead?

I suspect that "keeping the ball out of the hands of X" is just another football misconception. Again, as TR points out, because possessions are alternated in US football, at the end of the game either the teams have had the same number of possessions or one team has a one possession advantage.

Imagine (of course unrealistic) that team A scores a TD in one play on each possession and team B has a slow drive which results in a FG each time they get the ball. Which team would you rather be?

Bottom line is that the team that makes the most of its possessions (as measured by average points scored per possession) is going to be the winning team (again with the rare exception that one team has the extra possession and the points/possession are very slightly in the other team's favor), regardless of whether or not they won the time-of-possession stat.

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