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correction

Posted By: Jim Stutz
Date: Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 7:48 a.m.

In Response To: "free drop" a clear error (Jim Stutz)

XG Roller+ says that both positions are 47%-53% dogs for the leader, but the second position is a big free drop (0.09 blunder to take) while the first position is a clear take (0.045 error to use the free drop).

I concluded: "The difference is that Blue loses 16% gammons from the second position instead of just 11% gammons from the first position."

I thought about this some more, and now I think the above statement is incorrect. The equity numbers don't add up. There must be some other fundamental differences between the two positions beside just gammon risk. Volatility? I don't know, but there is more going on here than just gammon risk. Anyone know the answer?

Messages In This Thread

• "free drop" a clear error
  Jim Stutz -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 2:52 a.m.
  • "free drop" a clear error
    Stick -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 3:14 a.m.
    • "free drop" a clear error
      John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 4:04 a.m.
      • "free drop" a clear error
        Jim Stutz -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 5:31 a.m.
        • correction
          Jim Stutz -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 7:48 a.m.
          • correction
            Stick -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 7:53 a.m.
          • correction
            Stein Kulseth -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 10:18 a.m.
            • Corrigendum
              Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 4:32 p.m.
  • "free drop" a clear error
    Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 5 October 2010, at 3:16 a.m.