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Strategy/Psychology of Early Blitz Cube at 4-away, 4-away

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: Strategy/Psychology of Early Blitz Cube at 4-away, 4-away (Bill Riles)

The underdog's basic 2-cube takepoint at 4a-4a is around 29%, 2-cube g values are about 100% for each side, and your 4-cube takepoint is 33% or so. The taker's gammon and cube adjusted takepoint can never be higher than whatever his MWC are are 4a-3a (I use 42.5%) since that would be his takepoint if he takes and automatically redoubles on his next shake. So your gammons are worth a lot but so is his cube ownership. You should take both of these factors into account when thinking about offering an initial cube ATS.

BTW, the position you describe sounds like a double ATS and at most others as well.

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