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OT -- U. Central Florida decisions

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 2 January 2011, at 6:08 p.m.

In Response To: OT -- College Football - More bad decisions, Zeus answers please? (Gregg Cattanach)

For a generic NFL case (equal, league average teams) the first case is a 5% MWC error. 2nd case it is correct by 1% GWC to try the FG, but if it were a similar situation but with 38 seconds remaining in FIRST quarter then it would be about the same magnitude in the other direction -- i.e. going for TD is better by about 1% GWC. The reason for the difference is exactly what you said -- late in the half there is virtually no chance the team with the decision will get the ball back (with good field position to try for another score).

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