Yes, it's Dwek's problem 81, and he liked 24/22, 6/3. I'm sure some people then (and maybe now) would try to kill 4's. That comes out extremely badly here. There are pretty decent chances (with two capable of coming around) of making a 5-point board.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 72 | | Money session | pip: 169 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-ABBB-B-----------ccccCcC-:1:1:1:23:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 23 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/22 4/1 | eq: -0.704 |
| Player: Opponent: | 30.91% (G:0.59% B:0.02%) 69.09% (G:40.69% B:5.58%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.712...-0.696) Duration: 48 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22 6/3 | eq: -0.738 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 30.08% (G:0.53% B:0.02%) 69.92% (G:41.81% B:6.00%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.746...-0.730) Duration: 39 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 6/1 | eq: -0.743 (-0.039) |
| Player: Opponent: | 29.58% (G:0.52% B:0.01%) 70.42% (G:41.18% B:5.71%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.751...-0.735) Duration: 31 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 6/4 6/3 | eq: -0.908 (-0.204) |
| Player: Opponent: | 23.99% (G:0.40% B:0.01%) 76.01% (G:43.92% B:5.59%) | Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.923...-0.893) Duration: 10 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3246638 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3246638 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21