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Post Crawford cube decisions -- Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 5:38 p.m.

In Response To: Post Crawford cube decisions (Chuck Bower)





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 140
5 point match
pip: 159
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C-A-cDa--bAc--b-bA:0:0:-1:00:4:2:0:5:10
White on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 71.00% (G: 44.36% B: 2.24%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.00% (G: 6.13% B: 0.42%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.49% (G: 48.55% B: 2.96%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.51% (G: 6.41% B: 1.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.488
Double:+1.482
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.938 (-0.062)
Double/Take:+1.482 (+0.482)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+0.934...+0.942)
Confidence Double: ± 0.012 (+1.470...+1.494)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 27 minutes 26 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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