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Cube Reference Positions 2-15 (XG rollout)

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 8:17 p.m.

In Response To: And for a 4 pt game (neilkaz)

Kit's SW rollout had this as an 0.957 Take. A (shorter than below) 1296 trial XG rollout with 3-ply play, 4-ply cube has a 95% confidence interval of (0.992, 1.1013) on the Take, i.e. TCTC.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Unlimited session
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---ABbCCC---bC---bbcca----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.63% (G: 1.52% B: 0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.37% (G: 0.78% B: 0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.85% (G: 1.47% B: 0.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.15% (G: 0.77% B: 0.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.560
Double:+1.128
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.936 (-0.064)
Double/Take:+1.006 (+0.006)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3246638
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.933...+0.939)
Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+1.002...+1.009)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.9%
Duration: 3 hours 27 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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