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Rollout Results

Posted By: rory
Date: Tuesday, 3 May 2011, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: I made a play that David Rockwell disagreed with... (rory)

I came out to the 18 point. Rockwell thought my play was wrong. I do not remmeber if he suggested a play or just disliked coming out. Either way I was wrong to come out. Is there someone that can explain why?

My rational for staying was exactly what Rubin stated in this thread.

Why not come out? If you come out you get direct shots if black rolls 61, 62, and 63.

If you stay you get a direct shot on 65 only.





is Player 1

score: 8
pip: 68
9 point match
pip: 111
score: 5

is Player 2
XGID=--B-B-CBCB----b----d-bbcbA:1:-1:1:52:5:8:0:9:10
to play 52

1.Rollout1Bar/20 7/5eq: -0.723
Player:
Opponent:		 13.04% (G:0.92% B:0.04%)
86.96% (G:16.47% B:0.05%)		Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.727...-0.719)
Duration: 7 minutes 03 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 8/6eq: -0.729 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		 12.77% (G:0.90% B:0.03%)
87.23% (G:15.48% B:0.04%)		Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.733...-0.725)
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/20 9/7eq: -0.742 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		 12.15% (G:0.84% B:0.04%)
87.85% (G:18.52% B:0.05%)		Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.746...-0.738)
Duration: 4 minutes 38 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/20 6/4eq: -0.745 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		 12.11% (G:0.77% B:0.03%)
87.89% (G:19.21% B:0.04%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.748...-0.742)
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds
5.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.764 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		 11.21% (G:0.66% B:0.03%)
88.79% (G:10.29% B:0.04%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.767...-0.761)
Duration: 5 minutes 46 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34562
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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