Game number 2

The score (after 1 game) is: kit&stick 1, ed&howard 0 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: kit&stick to play 54

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|5O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 4       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIByAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/20 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 24/20 13/8 +0.0698
  0.5186 0.1406 0.0069 - 0.4814 0.1278 0.0037  
  2 2 13/9 13/8 +0.0509 ( -0.0189)
  0.5084 0.1563 0.0071 - 0.4916 0.1336 0.0052  
  3 2 24/15 +0.0141 ( -0.0556)
  0.5101 0.1230 0.0048 - 0.4899 0.1337 0.0038  
  4 2 13/4 -0.0232 ( -0.0930)
  0.4925 0.1431 0.0059 - 0.5075 0.1404 0.0060  

Move number 2: ed&howard to play 61

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O ' ' '4X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 1       |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |5O1X ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4PPgASHgc/ABMA Match ID: cAlnAhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/7 8/7

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 13/7 8/7 -0.0626
  0.4851 0.1181 0.0032 - 0.5149 0.1331 0.0045  
  2 2 13/7 6/5* -0.1379 ( -0.0753)
  0.4711 0.1241 0.0045 - 0.5289 0.1636 0.0104  
  3 2 24/18 6/5* -0.1573 ( -0.0947)
  0.4699 0.1075 0.0041 - 0.5301 0.1616 0.0060  
  4 2 13/6 -0.2317 ( -0.1690)
  0.4425 0.1055 0.0026 - 0.5575 0.1517 0.0055  

Move number 3: kit&stick to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O ' ' '4X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' ' '2O2O|   |5O1X ' ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 160
Position ID: 4NvgATDg8+ABIQ Match ID: MAF3AhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 20/9

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 20/9 +0.0330
  0.5131 0.1312 0.0052 - 0.4869 0.1341 0.0030  
  2 2 20/14 13/8 -0.0840 ( -0.1170)
  0.4851 0.1206 0.0048 - 0.5149 0.1494 0.0037  
  3 2 20/14 8/3 -0.1720 ( -0.2051)
  0.4640 0.1166 0.0046 - 0.5360 0.1638 0.0055  
  4 2 20/15 13/7 -0.2048 ( -0.2378)
  0.4536 0.1181 0.0042 - 0.5464 0.1642 0.0056  

Move number 4: ed&howard to play 52

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O ' '1X4X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 2       |
|4X ' ' '2O2O|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 147, ed&howard 160
Position ID: 4PPCAyDg2+ABMA Match ID: cIlqAhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/22 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 24/22 13/8 -0.1978
 
0.45070.11100.0041-0.54930.14490.0048 -0.1341 -0.1978
0.00160.00200.0004-0.00160.00200.0004 0.0042 0.0101
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1051 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 24/22 6/1* -0.2514 ( -0.0536)
 
0.44230.11560.0039-0.55770.15020.0076 -0.1546 -0.2514
0.00200.00180.0004-0.00200.00220.0007 0.0053 0.0133
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1052 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/11 13/8 -0.1650 ( +0.0327)
  0.4562 0.1219 0.0027 - 0.5438 0.1474 0.0062  
  4 2 13/8 6/4 -0.1743 ( +0.0235)
  0.4547 0.1206 0.0028 - 0.5453 0.1496 0.0073  

Move number 5: kit&stick to play 44

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' '1X4X '|   |5X ' '1O '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 4       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' ' '3O2O|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 147, ed&howard 153
Position ID: 4NvBASTg88IDIA Match ID: MAFyAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/9(2) 8/4(2)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 24/16 13/9(2) +0.5607
 
0.64110.11010.0048-0.35890.07100.0025 +0.3243 +0.5607
0.00330.00490.0008-0.00330.00250.0003 0.0075 0.0206
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  227 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 24/20 13/9 8/4(2) +0.4730 ( -0.0877)
 
0.61110.16990.0101-0.38890.08700.0031 +0.3153 +0.4730
0.00340.00490.0009-0.00340.00320.0009 0.0080 0.0197
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  226 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
• 3 R 13/9(2) 8/4(2) +0.4333 ( -0.1274)
 
0.60040.16810.0052-0.39960.08590.0026 +0.2863 +0.4333
0.00380.00480.0014-0.00380.00350.0006 0.0093 0.0261
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  226 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 24/20 13/5 9/5 +0.4050 ( -0.1557)
  0.6090 0.1525 0.0054 - 0.3910 0.0888 0.0016  

Annotation
We made such a bad play here. I don't remember seriously considering OtB the running play. After the roll we're way up in the race, 22 pips, so our main goal is to extricate the back checker. Why not do it now? If we run out and get away with it we're looking good, if we don't get away with it we still retain a solid position.

Move number 6: ed&howard to play 66

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' '3X2X '|   |5X '2X1O '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 6       |
|2X ' ' '3O2O|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 131, ed&howard 153
Position ID: mM8OAyDg28EBJA Match ID: cAl7AhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/2(2) 7/1*(2)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 8/2(2) 7/1*(2) -0.3642
  0.4010 0.1156 0.0012 - 0.5990 0.1684 0.0065  
  2 2 24/18 13/1* 7/1 -0.4455 ( -0.0813)
  0.3878 0.1030 0.0018 - 0.6122 0.1935 0.0066  
  3 2 13/1*(2) -0.4824 ( -0.1182)
  0.3699 0.1027 0.0017 - 0.6301 0.1647 0.0060  
  4 2 13/1* 7/1(2) -0.6197 ( -0.2555)
  0.3466 0.0758 0.0009 - 0.6534 0.1869 0.0054  

Move number 7: kit&stick to play 41

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' '3X2X '|   |5X '2X1O '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       4 1       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' ' '1O '|   |5O ' ' '2O2O|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 132, ed&howard 129
Position ID: Gz7BASSYzw4DQA Match ID: MAFmAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/21 9/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.2619(Money: +0.2561)
 0.5990 0.1684 0.0065 - 0.4010 0.1156 0.0012
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.3641 
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.6359
3.Double, take +0.2294 -0.1348
Proper cube action:No double, take (17.5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/21 9/8 +0.4330
  0.6171 0.1915 0.0108 - 0.3829 0.1267 0.0017  
  2 2 bar/20 +0.3995 ( -0.0335)
  0.6159 0.1593 0.0084 - 0.3841 0.1126 0.0013  
  3 2 bar/21 6/5 +0.3176 ( -0.1154)
  0.5910 0.1910 0.0098 - 0.4090 0.1729 0.0033  
  4 0 bar/21 4/3* -0.2217 ( -0.6546)
  0.4769 0.1312 0.0069 - 0.5231 0.2535 0.0058  

Move number 8: ed&howard to play 44

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X1O '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 4       |
|2X ' ' '1O '|   |5O '1X '2O2O|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 127, ed&howard 129
Position ID: mM8NAwQbPsEBJA Match ID: cAlyAhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 22/10 8/4*

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 22/10 8/4* -0.0750
  0.4694 0.1586 0.0016 - 0.5306 0.1573 0.0065  
  2 2 24/20 22/14 8/4* -0.1642 ( -0.0892)
  0.4544 0.1405 0.0020 - 0.5456 0.1840 0.0077  
  3 2 22/14 13/9 8/4* -0.2145 ( -0.1395)
  0.4362 0.1561 0.0020 - 0.5638 0.1873 0.0113  
  4 2 13/9(3) 8/4* -0.2331 ( -0.1581)
  0.4245 0.1439 0.0018 - 0.5755 0.1480 0.0058  

Move number 9: kit&stick to play 63

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       6 3       | 1 |                 |
|2X '1O ' ' '|   |5O '1O '2O2O|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 131, ed&howard 113
Position ID: m3yIAyCYzw0DQA Match ID: MAFvAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/16

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/16 -0.1720
  0.4807 0.0860 0.0042 - 0.5193 0.1600 0.0015  
  2 2 bar/22 8/2 -0.2822 ( -0.1102)
  0.4464 0.1233 0.0066 - 0.5536 0.2413 0.0039  
  3 2 bar/22 13/7 -0.3406 ( -0.1687)
  0.4277 0.1310 0.0073 - 0.5723 0.2821 0.0100  
  4 0 bar/22 9/3 -0.4329 ( -0.2610)
  0.4149 0.1240 0.0068 - 0.5851 0.2679 0.0062  

Move number 10: ed&howard to play 41

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 1       |
|2X '1O1X ' '|   |5O '1O '2O2O|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 122, ed&howard 113
Position ID: mM8NIwCbfIgDIA Match ID: cAlmAhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/9* 10/9

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 13/9* 10/9 +0.1492
  0.5171 0.1842 0.0018 - 0.4829 0.1251 0.0041  
  2 2 13/9*/8 +0.0259 ( -0.1233)
  0.4837 0.1775 0.0016 - 0.5163 0.1569 0.0083  
  3 2 24/20 10/9* -0.0099 ( -0.1591)
  0.4820 0.1533 0.0016 - 0.5180 0.1588 0.0062  
  4 2 13/9* 4/3 -0.0210 ( -0.1703)
  0.4786 0.1681 0.0014 - 0.5214 0.1546 0.0082  

Move number 11: kit&stick to play 53

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|2O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       5 3       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' '2O ' '|   |5O '1O '2O2O|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 131, ed&howard 108
Position ID: m3wMAyCYzw0DQA Match ID: MIFuAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/17


Annotation
Another oversight? It's sick when I put the match in and see these plays I'm asking myself "did we really play that?!" Run out into a double shot plus with plenty of hit and covers or leave far fewer shots and take the initiative by smacking off our ace point. The choice is clear, insert dunce cap here > <

Move number 12: ed&howard to play 52

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 2       |
|2X ' '2O1X '|   |5O '1O '2O2O|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 123, ed&howard 108
Position ID: mM8NQwCbfAwDIA Match ID: cIlqAhAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/8* 6/4

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.440)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 0 13/8* 6/4 +0.8009
  0.6703 0.3059 0.0015 - 0.3297 0.0638 0.0024  
  2 0 13/8* 4/2 +0.0812 ( -0.7197)
  0.5095 0.1535 0.0007 - 0.4905 0.1096 0.0030  
  3 0 13/11 13/8* +0.0761 ( -0.7248)
  0.5001 0.1949 0.0014 - 0.4999 0.1321 0.0057  
  4 0 13/8*/6 +0.0132 ( -0.7877)
  0.4855 0.1651 0.0011 - 0.5145 0.1191 0.0037  

Move number 13: kit&stick to play 64

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|1O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       6 4       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' '2O1O '|   |4O '2O '2O2O|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 131, ed&howard 101
Position ID: m3kaAiCYzw0DQA Match ID: MAFzAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.302)

# Ply Move Equity
   Cannot move 

Move number 14: ed&howard doubles to 2

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|1O ' '2X3X '|   |5X '2X ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |       [2]       |
|2X ' '2O1O '|   |4O '2O '2O2O|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 131, ed&howard 101
Position ID: mM8NA0CbeRoCIA Match ID: cBFgAhAAAAAA

• kit&stick rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.8357(Money: +0.8319)
 0.7483 0.3732 0.0027 - 0.2517 0.0391 0.0015
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000 
2.Double, take +1.5277 +0.5277
3.No double +0.9833 -0.0167
Proper cube action:Double, pass

 

ed&howard wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 2
Playerkit&sticked&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves 7 6
Unforced moves 6 6
Unmarked moves 0 0
Moves marked good 5 6
Moves marked doubtful 0 0
Moves marked bad 2 0
Moves marked very bad 0 0
Error rate (total) -0.262 ( -0.906%) +0.000
Error rate (per move) -43.75 ( -0.151%) +0.00
Chequerplay rating Awful! Supernatural
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 0 0
Rolls marked lucky 0 1
Rolls unmarked 6 5
Rolls marked unlucky 1 0
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck rate (total) -0.515 ( -1.778%) +0.391 ( +1.350%)
Luck rate (per move) -73.63 ( -0.254%) +65.21 ( +0.225%)
Luck rating Go to bed Go to Las Vegas immediately
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 7 7
Close or actual cube decisions 2 1
Doubles 0 1
Takes 0 0
Passes 1 0
Missed doubles (below CP) 0 0
Missed doubles (above CP) 0 0
Wrong doubles (below DP) 0 0
Wrong doubles (above TG) 0 0
Wrong takes 0 0
Wrong passes 0 0
Error rate (total) +0.000 +0.000
Error rate (per cube decision) +0.00 +0.00
Cube decision rating Supernatural Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total) -0.262 ( -0.906%) +0.000
Error rate (per decision) -32.81 ( -0.113%) +0.00
Equiv. Snowie error rate -20.19 +0.00
Overall rating Beginner Supernatural
Actual result -3.40% +3.40%
Luck adjusted result -0.27% +0.27%

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