Game number 5

The score (after 4 games) is: kit&stick 1, ed&howard 4 (match to 19 points)

[First Game] [Previous Game] [Next Game] [Last Game]

Move number 1: kit&stick to play 31

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIBlAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/5 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0.2855
			0.5610 0.1751 0.0081 - 0.4390 0.1170 0.0044
	2	2	24/23 13/10	+0.0468 ( -0.2387)
			0.5027 0.1411 0.0058 - 0.4973 0.1345 0.0045
	3	2	13/9	+0.0360 ( -0.2495)
			0.4983 0.1458 0.0057 - 0.5017 0.1366 0.0056
	4	2	13/10 6/5	+0.0302 ( -0.2553)
			0.5017 0.1421 0.0060 - 0.4983 0.1445 0.0080

Move number 2: ed&howard to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 163, ed&howard 167
Position ID: sGfwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAl3AhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/13	-0.2196
			0.4643 0.1028 0.0048 - 0.5357 0.1685 0.0047
	2	2	24/18 13/8	-0.3259 ( -0.1062)
			0.4385 0.1087 0.0053 - 0.5615 0.1886 0.0070
	3	2	13/8 13/7	-0.4911 ( -0.2715)
			0.3966 0.1073 0.0047 - 0.6034 0.1996 0.0128
	4	2	13/2	-0.5531 ( -0.3335)
			0.3854 0.1046 0.0048 - 0.6146 0.2118 0.0124

Move number 3: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 163, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 4HPwAyCwZ/ABMA Match ID: MIFyAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/20 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20 13/8	+0.2357
			0.5444 0.1546 0.0041 - 0.4556 0.0901 0.0022
	2	2	13/9 13/8	+0.2147 ( -0.0209)
			0.5342 0.1717 0.0044 - 0.4658 0.1020 0.0037
	3	2	24/20 6/1*	+0.1567 ( -0.0789)
			0.5218 0.1549 0.0036 - 0.4782 0.0997 0.0031
	4	2	24/15	+0.1444 ( -0.0913)
			0.5279 0.1372 0.0032 - 0.4721 0.1067 0.0028

Move number 4: ed&howard to play 22

Pip counts: kit&stick 154, ed&howard 156
Position ID: sOfgASHgc/ADIA Match ID: cAlpAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/11(2) 6/4(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	+0.0083
			0.5201 0.1051 0.0026 - 0.4799 0.1257 0.0027
	2	2	24/22 13/11(3)	-0.1350 ( -0.1433)
			0.4905 0.0838 0.0028 - 0.5095 0.1481 0.0028
	3	2	13/11(4)	-0.1593 ( -0.1676)
			0.4775 0.0898 0.0022 - 0.5225 0.1432 0.0028
	4	2	13/9(2)	-0.1742 ( -0.1824)
			0.4737 0.0849 0.0018 - 0.5263 0.1416 0.0026

Move number 5: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 154, ed&howard 148
Position ID: mHPMAyCw5+ABIQ Match ID: MIFqAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 20/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	20/13	-0.1342
			0.4553 0.1037 0.0019 - 0.5447 0.1209 0.0031
	2	2	24/22 6/1*	-0.2094 ( -0.0752)
			0.4378 0.1128 0.0026 - 0.5622 0.1465 0.0057
	3	2	13/11 6/1*	-0.2143 ( -0.0800)
			0.4374 0.1290 0.0035 - 0.5626 0.1611 0.0084
	4	2	24/22 20/15	-0.2358 ( -0.1016)
			0.4363 0.1032 0.0030 - 0.5637 0.1555 0.0047

Move number 6: ed&howard to play 33

Pip counts: kit&stick 147, ed&howard 148
Position ID: sOfgAyCYc8wDIA Match ID: cIltAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/10 11/5 8/5

Annotation

A very common question that comes up. Bar point or five point? The majority of the time the answer is five point. When isn't the answer five point? In situations exactly like this. If they make the bar we're hemmed in, if we're lucky we may scoot up in hopes of hopping the prime. Problem being if we scoot up to the five point we'll get raped, and up to the three point they still have plenty of builders to either point on us or make the five prime (or broken six prime) If they simply make the five point as they did we get immediate sixes to hop, we can scoot up and there's less ammo and the eight point is now stripped so it's less effective as a builder for the bar point.

Move number 7: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 147, ed&howard 136
Position ID: 2M6UAyCw5+ADIA Match ID: MAFzAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/14*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.518)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	24/14*	+0.2548
			0.5773 0.1057 0.0047 - 0.4227 0.1040 0.0020
	2	0	8/2 6/2	-0.4217 ( -0.6765)
			0.3849 0.0916 0.0024 - 0.6151 0.1795 0.0045
	3	0	13/9 13/7	-0.6438 ( -0.8986)
			0.3449 0.0814 0.0024 - 0.6551 0.2306 0.0102
	4	0	13/3	-0.6632 ( -0.9180)
			0.3377 0.0796 0.0024 - 0.6623 0.2221 0.0073

Move number 8: ed&howard to play 33

Pip counts: kit&stick 137, ed&howard 150
Position ID: sOfgCwDYzsQBUA Match ID: cIltAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22 13/7 10/7

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/22 13/7 10/7	-0.3411
			0.3966 0.0672 0.0006 - 0.6034 0.0747 0.0023
	2	2	bar/22 24/21 10/7 8/5	-0.3754 ( -0.0343)
			0.3927 0.0683 0.0013 - 0.6073 0.0928 0.0033
	3	2	bar/22 24/21 13/7	-0.3783 ( -0.0372)
			0.3923 0.0639 0.0010 - 0.6077 0.0890 0.0032
	4	2	bar/22 24/21 10/4	-0.3819 ( -0.0408)
			0.3903 0.0659 0.0011 - 0.6097 0.0885 0.0025

Move number 9: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 137, ed&howard 138
Position ID: 2G6DASSw5+ALAA Match ID: MAFrAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 14/8 13/11

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2144	(Money: +0.2160)
	0.6034 0.0747 0.0023 - 0.3966 0.0672 0.0006
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3411
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6589
3.	Double, take	+0.2017	-0.1394
Proper cube action:		No double, take (17.5%)

Annotation

Should have known better. We briefly discussed this OtB. It's too many shots, I agree completely with the bot now. Their board is too strong, the shots to costly, the gain not big enough when we get away with it. Naughty!

Move number 10: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 138
Position ID: sOeRBwDYboMBJA Match ID: cIlqAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/22 8/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/22 8/3	-0.4425
			0.3562 0.0351 0.0003 - 0.6438 0.0355 0.0009
	2	2	24/22 7/2	-0.4579 ( -0.0154)
			0.3518 0.0362 0.0003 - 0.6482 0.0374 0.0009
	3	2	24/22 6/1	-0.5026 ( -0.0601)
			0.3418 0.0347 0.0003 - 0.6582 0.0425 0.0009
	4	2	24/22 13/8	-0.5544 ( -0.1119)
			0.3314 0.0315 0.0002 - 0.6686 0.0465 0.0008

Move number 11: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 131
Position ID: tN2CAQyw55EHAA Match ID: MIFpAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/11 8/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2875	(Money: +0.2885)
	0.6438 0.0355 0.0009 - 0.3562 0.0351 0.0003
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4425
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5575
3.	Double, take	+0.3581	-0.0844
Proper cube action:		No double, take (13.2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11 8/5	+0.4554
			0.6480 0.0422 0.0011 - 0.3520 0.0298 0.0002
	2	2	13/11 13/10	+0.3816 ( -0.0738)
			0.6254 0.0559 0.0019 - 0.3746 0.0532 0.0009
	3	2	11/6	+0.3488 ( -0.1067)
			0.6132 0.0400 0.0010 - 0.3868 0.0311 0.0002
	4	2	13/8	+0.3216 ( -0.1338)
			0.6079 0.0464 0.0015 - 0.3921 0.0531 0.0005

Move number 12: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 124, ed&howard 131
Position ID: cM8xBwC03YIBDA Match ID: cAluAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/5 7/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 7/3	-0.4544
			0.3557 0.0315 0.0003 - 0.6443 0.0392 0.0010
	2	2	7/4 7/3	-0.4582 ( -0.0038)
			0.3546 0.0321 0.0003 - 0.6454 0.0398 0.0009
	3	2	8/4 6/3	-0.4652 ( -0.0109)
			0.3535 0.0310 0.0002 - 0.6465 0.0407 0.0010
	4	2	7/4 6/2	-0.4682 ( -0.0139)
			0.3511 0.0337 0.0003 - 0.6489 0.0406 0.0012

Move number 13: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 124, ed&howard 124
Position ID: bHeBAQxwzzEHAA Match ID: MAFvAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/8 11/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2962	(Money: +0.2970)
	0.6443 0.0392 0.0010 - 0.3557 0.0315 0.0003
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4544
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5456
3.	Double, take	+0.3746	-0.0797
Proper cube action:		No double, take (12.8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/8 11/5	+0.4528
			0.6451 0.0411 0.0010 - 0.3549 0.0237 0.0001
	2	2	8/2 5/2	+0.4208 ( -0.0321)
			0.6358 0.0470 0.0008 - 0.3642 0.0344 0.0003
	3	2	11/2	+0.3425 ( -0.1103)
			0.6147 0.0469 0.0012 - 0.3853 0.0547 0.0005
	4	2	13/10 8/2	+0.2819 ( -0.1710)
			0.5978 0.0525 0.0016 - 0.4022 0.0703 0.0010

Move number 14: ed&howard to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 124
Position ID: 8J4HBwBsd4EBDA Match ID: cIlyAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 7/2 6/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/2 6/2	-0.4192
			0.3672 0.0285 0.0003 - 0.6328 0.0374 0.0008
	2	2	13/9 13/8	-0.4310 ( -0.0118)
			0.3619 0.0244 0.0003 - 0.6381 0.0306 0.0005
	3	2	7/2 5/1	-0.4511 ( -0.0319)
			0.3582 0.0300 0.0003 - 0.6418 0.0406 0.0008
	4	2	6/1 5/1	-0.4651 ( -0.0459)
			0.3544 0.0275 0.0003 - 0.6456 0.0392 0.0007

Move number 15: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 115
Position ID: tt2AAQzwngcHAA Match ID: MIFkAhAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/7(2) 5/4(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2744	(Money: +0.2750)
	0.6328 0.0374 0.0008 - 0.3672 0.0285 0.0003
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4192
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5808
3.	Double, take	+0.3215	-0.0977
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14.4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/7(2) 5/4(2)	+0.8592
			0.7334 0.0499 0.0008 - 0.2666 0.0157 0.0001
	2	2	6/4 5/4(2)	+0.5507 ( -0.3085)
			0.6646 0.0471 0.0011 - 0.3354 0.0186 0.0001
	3	2	8/6 5/4(2)	+0.5363 ( -0.3230)
			0.6588 0.0500 0.0012 - 0.3412 0.0186 0.0001
	4	2	6/4(2)	+0.4901 ( -0.3691)
			0.6507 0.0470 0.0011 - 0.3493 0.0220 0.0001

Move number 16: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 111, ed&howard 115
Position ID: 2N4GBwC23YABDA Match ID: cAlnAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/7 5/4	-0.9983
			0.2393 0.0138 0.0002 - 0.7607 0.0609 0.0006
•	2	2	13/6	-1.0000 ( -0.0017)
			0.2400 0.0143 0.0002 - 0.7600 0.0636 0.0009
	3	2	13/7 2/1	-1.0000 ( -0.0017)
			0.2366 0.0134 0.0002 - 0.7634 0.0632 0.0006
	4	2	13/7 6/5	-1.0000 ( -0.0017)
			0.2326 0.0127 0.0001 - 0.7674 0.0669 0.0006

Annotation

I wish they hadn't rolled the previous 61 because I think they'd have still dropped. They gave this little consideration before passing.

Move number 17: kit&stick doubles to 2

Pip counts: kit&stick 111, ed&howard 108
Position ID: tt0BAQzY3gYHAA Match ID: MBlgAhAAIAAA

• ed&howard rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.5704	(Money: +0.5700)
	0.7600 0.0636 0.0009 - 0.2400 0.0143 0.0002
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0009	+0.0009
3.	No double	+0.8796	-0.1204
Proper cube action:		Double, pass

kit&stick wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 5
Player	kit&stick	ed&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves	8	8
Unforced moves	8	8
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	7	7
Moves marked doubtful	1	1
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.045 ( -0.160%)	-0.060 ( -0.213%)
Error rate (per move)	-5.63 ( -0.020%)	-7.50 ( -0.027%)
Chequerplay rating	Expert	Expert
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	0
Rolls unmarked	7	8
Rolls marked unlucky	0	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	+0.680 ( +2.413%)	-0.099 ( -0.352%)
Luck rate (per move)	+84.96 ( +0.302%)	-12.39 ( -0.044%)
Luck rating	Go to Las Vegas immediately	None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	8	9
Close or actual cube decisions	5	1
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	0
Passes	0	1
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	+0.000	+0.000
Error rate (per cube decision)	+0.00	+0.00
Cube decision rating	Supernatural	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0.045 ( -0.160%)	-0.060 ( -0.213%)
Error rate (per decision)	-3.47 ( -0.012%)	-6.67 ( -0.024%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-2.82	-3.75
Overall rating	World class	Expert
Actual result	+3.40%	-3.40%
Luck adjusted result	+0.64%	-0.64%

[First Game] [Previous Game] [Next Game] [Last Game]

Output generated Wed Mar 26 17:50:45 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (HTML Export version 1.172)