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The meaninglessness of backgammon results

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Saturday, 23 June 2012, at 3:16 a.m.

In Response To: The meaninglessness of backgammon results (Timothy Chow)

What is the probability that the stick will win the tournament? The answer turns out to be less than 6%.

Which isn't bad if you think about it.

Everyone else in the tournament has less than 1% chance of winning. The moment Stick enters the tournament, he can expect to win back six times his entry fee (on average). That's a pretty good investment!

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