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SOLUTION for TG/T at –11–11

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 10 May 2017, at 3:59 a.m.

In Response To: SOLUTION (mine is also x = 10) (Nack Ballard)

If we can believe the 4-ply rollout, the position below is both TOO GOOD to double and is a TAKE, with the cube on 2, at the record score of –11–11.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
11 point match
pip: 18
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-daa-aC----------b-b--b-b-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.15% (G:40.91% B:32.10%) 58.77% (G:35.46% B:29.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 41.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.046 +1.381
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.015±0.012 (+1.003..+1.027)
Redouble/Take:+0.890 (-0.125)±0.020 (+0.870..+0.910)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.015)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Rollout details
11111 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76568815
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:99.1%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 16 hours 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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