[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

SOLUTION for TG/T at –11–11

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 10 May 2017, at 10:54 p.m.

In Response To: SOLUTION for TG/T at –11–11 (Nack Ballard)

If your window is sufficiently wide, you can view the two rollouts below side by side. The first (left-hand) one is at –11–11. The second (right-hand) one is for money. Perhaps comparing them will shed some light, as per Ray's suggestion.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
11 point match
pip: 18
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-daa-aC----------b-b--b-b-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.15% (G:40.91% B:32.10%) 58.77% (G:35.46% B:29.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 41.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.046 +1.381
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.015�0.012 (+1.003..+1.027)
Redouble/Take:+0.890 (-0.125)�0.020 (+0.870..+0.910)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.015)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Rollout details
11111 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76568815
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:99.1%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 16 hours 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 197
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 18
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-daa-aC----------b-b--b-b-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.90% (G:42.75% B:33.18%) 61.67% (G:37.52% B:29.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 38.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.077 +1.809
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.103±0.018 (+1.084..+1.121)
Redouble/Take:+1.434 (+0.331)±0.030 (+1.404..+1.464)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.103)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 23.6%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76568815
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 19 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.