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NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 1:45 a.m.

In Response To: NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math) (Bob Koca)

How well could one adjust for kicks in actual games being more likely to be blocked or have a bad snap?

The bad snap is likely independent of kick distance so that one should be pretty easy to adjust for. Because long kicks have a lower trajectory, though, the likelihood of a block is an increasing function of the distance. I guess another fit to the data? Or maybe 'simple' physics since you could measure the trajectory and use the interference plane for all kicks. (Of course measuring all this would take considerable video work, in the least.)

Messages In This Thread

• NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 23 January 2012, at 10:02 p.m.
  • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
    Bill Riles -- Monday, 23 January 2012, at 10:35 p.m.
    • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
      Steve Mellen -- Monday, 23 January 2012, at 11:10 p.m.
    • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
      Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:09 a.m.
      • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:12 a.m.
        • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
          Steve Mellen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:18 a.m.
          • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
            Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:23 a.m.
            • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
              Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:28 a.m.
              • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
                Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 1:10 a.m.
                • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
                  Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 1:26 a.m.
    • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:10 a.m.
  • Should they have kept the punt? -- OT
    Sam Pottle -- Monday, 23 January 2012, at 11:57 p.m.
    • Should they have kept the punt? -- OT
      Gregg Cattanach -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:17 p.m.
      • Should they have kept the punt? -- OT
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 6:19 p.m.
    • Should they have kept the punt? -- OT
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 3:40 p.m.
  • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT
    lenny -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:16 a.m.
    • confusion
      lenny -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:34 a.m.
      • confusion
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 8:38 a.m.
  • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (answers)
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 3:24 p.m.
    • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (answers)
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:30 p.m.
      • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (answers)
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 6:07 p.m.
    • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (answers)
      Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 1:08 a.m.
      • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (answers)
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 3:23 a.m.
      • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
        Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 3:28 p.m.
        • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
          Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 3:43 p.m.
          • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
            Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 5:57 p.m.
            • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
              Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:34 p.m.
            • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
              Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 11:19 p.m.
              • NFL Sunday critical field goals -- OT (math)
                Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 1:45 a.m.