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BGonline.org Forums
Thanks! +1
Posted By: Christian Plenz In Response To: Thanks! (Maik Stiebler)
Date: Monday, 7 May 2012, at 1:16 p.m.
When I take a look at my online results from the last 550 matches (Gridgammon) I have similar effects. Usually I do not play Onepointers (with the exception of 10 truly Onepointers included but average match length is 6.5). Using XG's export function 57 from the 550 matches came down to 1 away vs. 1 away or started at this score (I skipped off 2 away vs. 2 away and 2 away vs. 1 away post-crawford)
I won't consider 57 as massive data as well, its just a number to start with but the interpretation is close to yours (or even a little bit more in that direction):
The PR-Difference performed in the DMP games is 3.13
According to the bot analyzis the game expectation is 54.64% (50% + %cost opponent - %cost). Think that easy approach can be done for Onepointers
The ELO formular for dmp needs about +160 ELO to keep the balance with 54.64% (whereas 3.13 * 35 is just 110)
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