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Counterexample?

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 4:26 p.m.

In Response To: Counterexample? (Chuck Bower)

Chuck: I don't know if this is how MWC errors are tallied by XG, however, so maybe XG's method wouldn't give > 100%?

Errors in equity or MWC are simply added and can be greater than 1 or 100% respectivly in a DMP.

The only time I renormalize MWC is on the line "Luck base rating" in the match summary. I apply the following formula

VR := Result - DeltaCostLuck;

VR := 1 / (1 + exp((0.5 - VR) * 4)); This insure that a player cannot be more than 100% (or less than 0%) favorite. The slope is 1 around 0.5 so for most practical uses the value reported is very close to the difference of luck MWC.

Messages In This Thread

• PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
  Michael Petch -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 12:03 a.m.
  • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
    Bob koca -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 2:26 a.m.
    • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
      Michael Petch -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 6:09 a.m.
      • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 9:39 p.m.
        • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
          Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 10:23 p.m.
    • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
      Michael Nielsen -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 2:28 p.m.
      • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
        mtuhtan -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 3:57 p.m.
        • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 5:08 p.m.
          • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
            Chuck Bower -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 6:07 p.m.
            • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
              Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 6:17 p.m.
              • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
                Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 10:16 a.m.
                • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
                  Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 11:06 a.m.
                  • Counterexample?
                    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 2:59 p.m.
                    • Counterexample?
                      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 3:00 p.m.
                      • Counterexample?
                        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 3:14 p.m.
                    • Counterexample?
                      eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 4:26 p.m.
                      • Counterexample?
                        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 6:30 p.m.
  • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 5:37 a.m.
    • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
      Bob koca -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 5:46 a.m.
    • +1
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 7:50 a.m.
    • +1 *NM*
      Chiva Tafazzoli -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 12:51 p.m.
    • +1 *NM*
      mtuhtan -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 1:07 p.m.
    • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 2:52 p.m.
  • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
    Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 1:29 a.m.
    • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 7:32 p.m.
      • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 9:44 p.m.
        • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
          Stick -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 11:33 p.m.
        • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 6 February 2013, at 12:12 a.m.
          • PR tournament. Clock time out. Ruling?
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 6 February 2013, at 2:03 a.m.