Correction to previous post
Posted By: Terrapin In Response To: Cube Action? (Terrapin)
Date: Friday, 19 July 2013, at 8:21 p.m.
In Response To: Cube Action? (Terrapin)
Corrections to my Take Point calculations (thanks Igor):
Should White double?
We are 9a-5a with cube on 4
No Double Lose: 9a-1a 6% equity.
Double Lose: Game 0% equity.
Double Win: 1a-5a 84% equity.
No Double Win: 5a-5a 50% equity.
So NDL - DL = 6%, DW - NDW = 34%
6/(34+7) =6/41 = 14.6%
White should double as winning chances are better than 15%
Should Blue Take?
Win: game 100% equity
Pass: 5a-5a 50% equity
Lose: 5a-1a 16% equity
34/50+34 = 40%
Blue should take as winning chances are better than 40%
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