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How to play with one primed straggler? ROs
Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Sunday, 28 July 2013, at 11:26 p.m.
In Response To: How to play with one primed straggler? (Bob Koca)
To roll the prime from the 4 point to the 1 point six things need to happen. 3 slots and 3 covers. Here one of those 6 things has been done but the hit can make step one be redone. If the spares were badly placed then I see how not hitting might be right but here the spares are far away and 55 is ok. I am not understanding how 3/1 (2) can be correct. If one does hit then the trying to get hit strategy does come out best. The first RO was at a very high strength with moves being played at XG++. If 3 ply play is used results are switched around with the hitting plays having the top 3 spots and playing to get hit play coming out on top. Differences are small no matter what is done.
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 1121 point match pip: 47
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=aABBBBBBAAbhb:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 11
1. Rollout^{1} 3/1(2) eq: 0.8117
Player:
Opponent:9.41% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
90.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8124...0.8111)  [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 3/1 2/1(2) eq: 0.8141 (0.0023)
Player:
Opponent:9.30% (G:0.29% B:0.01%)
90.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8147...0.8134)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes3. Rollout^{1} 2/1(4) eq: 0.8149 (0.0032)
Player:
Opponent:9.25% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
90.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8156...0.8143)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 25 minutes4. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 3/1 2/1 eq: 0.8155 (0.0037)
Player:
Opponent:9.23% (G:1.04% B:0.02%)
90.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0009 (0.8163...0.8146)  [0.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 06 minutes5. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 2/1(3) eq: 0.8163 (0.0045)
Player:
Opponent:9.19% (G:0.49% B:0.00%)
90.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0008 (0.8171...0.8154)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 06 minutes6. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 3/2 3/1 eq: 0.8170 (0.0053)
Player:
Opponent:9.15% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
90.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0008 (0.8178...0.8162)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 1121 point match pip: 47
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=aABBBBBBAAbhb:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 11
1. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 3/1 2/1 eq: 0.8063
Player:
Opponent:9.69% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
90.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0008 (0.8071...0.8054)  [99.5%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 3/2 3/1 eq: 0.8077 (0.0014)
Player:
Opponent:9.62% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
90.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0007 (0.8083...0.8070)  [0.5%]
Duration: 38.4 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 23/22* 2/1(3) eq: 0.8087 (0.0024)
Player:
Opponent:9.57% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
90.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0007 (0.8094...0.8080)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 33 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 3/1(2) eq: 0.8097 (0.0034)
Player:
Opponent:9.52% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
90.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8103...0.8091)  [0.0%]
Duration: 22.8 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 3/1 2/1(2) eq: 0.8114 (0.0052)
Player:
Opponent:9.43% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
90.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8121...0.8108)  [0.0%]
Duration: 44.9 seconds6. Rollout^{1} 2/1(4) eq: 0.8121 (0.0059)
Player:
Opponent:9.39% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
90.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)Conf.: ±0.0006 (0.8127...0.8115)  [0.0%]
Duration: 47.9 seconds^{1} 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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