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How to play with one primed straggler? ROs

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Sunday, 28 July 2013, at 11:26 p.m.

In Response To: How to play with one primed straggler? (Bob Koca)

To roll the prime from the 4 point to the 1 point six things need to happen. 3 slots and 3 covers. Here one of those 6 things has been done but the hit can make step one be redone. If the spares were badly placed then I see how not hitting might be right but here the spares are far away and 55 is ok. I am not understanding how 3/1 (2) can be correct. If one does hit then the trying to get hit strategy does come out best. The first RO was at a very high strength with moves being played at XG++. If 3 ply play is used results are switched around with the hitting plays having the top 3 spots and playing to get hit play coming out on top. Differences are small no matter what is done.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 47
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--aABBBBBB---A----A---bhb-:0:0:-1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout13/1(2)eq: -0.8117
Player:
Opponent:		9.41% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
90.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8124...-0.8111) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
2.Rollout13/1 2/1(2)eq: -0.8141 (-0.0023)
Player:
Opponent:		9.30% (G:0.29% B:0.01%)
90.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8147...-0.8134) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes
3.Rollout12/1(4)eq: -0.8149 (-0.0032)
Player:
Opponent:		9.25% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
90.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8156...-0.8143) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 25 minutes
4.Rollout123/22* 3/1 2/1eq: -0.8155 (-0.0037)
Player:
Opponent:		9.23% (G:1.04% B:0.02%)
90.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0009 (-0.8163...-0.8146) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 06 minutes
5.Rollout123/22* 2/1(3)eq: -0.8163 (-0.0045)
Player:
Opponent:		9.19% (G:0.49% B:0.00%)
90.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0008 (-0.8171...-0.8154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 06 minutes
6.Rollout123/22* 3/2 3/1eq: -0.8170 (-0.0053)
Player:
Opponent:		9.15% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
90.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0008 (-0.8178...-0.8162) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 47
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--aABBBBBB---A----A---bhb-:0:0:-1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout123/22* 3/1 2/1eq: -0.8063
Player:
Opponent:		9.69% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
90.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0008 (-0.8071...-0.8054) - [99.5%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout123/22* 3/2 3/1eq: -0.8077 (-0.0014)
Player:
Opponent:		9.62% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
90.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0007 (-0.8083...-0.8070) - [0.5%]
Duration: 38.4 seconds
3.Rollout123/22* 2/1(3)eq: -0.8087 (-0.0024)
Player:
Opponent:		9.57% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
90.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0007 (-0.8094...-0.8080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 33 seconds
4.Rollout13/1(2)eq: -0.8097 (-0.0034)
Player:
Opponent:		9.52% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
90.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8103...-0.8091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.8 seconds
5.Rollout13/1 2/1(2)eq: -0.8114 (-0.0052)
Player:
Opponent:		9.43% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
90.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8121...-0.8108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44.9 seconds
6.Rollout12/1(4)eq: -0.8121 (-0.0059)
Player:
Opponent:		9.39% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
90.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ±0.0006 (-0.8127...-0.8115) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47.9 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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