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RO - backgame surprises - hit/no hit all the same?

Posted By: Rod
Date: Thursday, 22 August 2013, at 4:51 a.m.

In Response To: backgame surprises (Rod)

Apparently hitting and having a chance of making an unbroken prime outweighs allowing the chance of opponent making the 9. Seem correct enough?

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 258 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 206 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-acbabCBBaA-b----AAc-BA-AA:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21 18/10 17/13	eq: +0.429
	Player: Opponent: 56.70% (G:26.86% B:1.70%) 43.30% (G:8.82% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.413...+0.445) - [56.0%] Duration: 8 hours 14 minutes
2.	Rollout2	Bar/21 22/18 17/9*	eq: +0.427 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 57.70% (G:25.48% B:1.56%) 42.30% (G:9.04% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.410...+0.444) - [43.5%] Duration: 9 hours 35 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/21 22/10	eq: +0.403 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 56.84% (G:25.77% B:1.52%) 43.16% (G:8.77% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.388...+0.418) - [0.2%] Duration: 8 hours 26 minutes
4.	Rollout2	Bar/21 18/14 17/9*	eq: +0.401 (-0.028)
	Player: Opponent: 57.03% (G:25.85% B:2.07%) 42.97% (G:9.32% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.383...+0.420) - [0.3%] Duration: 9 hours 00 minute
5.	Rollout2	Bar/21 24/20 18/10	eq: +0.399 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 56.76% (G:26.18% B:1.57%) 43.24% (G:8.75% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.383...+0.415) - [0.1%] Duration: 8 hours 13 minutes
6.	Rollout2	Bar/17 18/10	eq: +0.380 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 56.77% (G:26.02% B:1.44%) 43.23% (G:8.98% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.361...+0.398) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 hours 08 minutes
7.	Rollout2	Bar/21 24/20 17/9*	eq: +0.374 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 56.67% (G:25.00% B:1.84%) 43.33% (G:9.28% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.355...+0.393) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 hours 17 minutes
8.	Rollout3	Bar/13 17/13	eq: +0.369 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 56.43% (G:24.38% B:1.21%) 43.57% (G:9.16% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.023 (+0.346...+0.392) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 39 minutes
9.	Rollout3	Bar/9*	eq: +0.363 (-0.066)
	Player: Opponent: 56.56% (G:25.53% B:1.97%) 43.44% (G:9.00% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.035 (+0.328...+0.398) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 57 minutes
10.	XG Roller++	Bar/17 21/17 18/14	eq: +0.417 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 57.21% (G:24.29% B:1.55%) 42.79% (G:7.87% B:0.34%)
1 8872 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 8871 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 3295 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• backgame surprises
  Rod -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 3:26 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Paul Weaver -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 4:14 p.m.
    • backgame surprises
      Rod -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 4:52 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 4:30 p.m.
    • backgame surprises
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 6:47 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Stick -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 5:53 p.m.
    • backgame surprises
      Rod -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 5:54 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 6:24 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    kruidenbuiltje -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 10:01 p.m.
    • backgame surprises (mini spoiler)
      Rod -- Sunday, 18 August 2013, at 10:38 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 12:36 a.m.
  • backgame surprises
    David Levy -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 3:56 a.m.
  • backgame surprises
    neilkaz -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 3:57 a.m.
    • backgame surprises
      Rod -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 4:00 a.m.
  • backgame surprises
    christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 9:18 a.m.
  • RO still going - but question about play....
    Rod -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 5:04 p.m.
  • backgame surprises
    Keene -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 6:16 p.m.
    • backgame surprises
      Rod -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 6:40 p.m.
      • backgame surprises
        neilkaz -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 7:35 p.m.
        • backgame surprises
          Rod -- Monday, 19 August 2013, at 8:40 p.m.
  • RO - backgame surprises - hit/no hit all the same?
    Rod -- Thursday, 22 August 2013, at 4:51 a.m.
    • RO - backgame surprises - hit/no hit all the same?
      Bob Koca -- Thursday, 22 August 2013, at 3:56 p.m.
      • RO - backgame surprises - hit/no hit all the same?
        Rod -- Thursday, 22 August 2013, at 4:21 p.m.