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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 30 August 2013, at 8:02 a.m.

In Response To: What did I tell you (Stick)

XG reads this as a D/P on every ply. When it cubed me OtB I snatched it up. Remember to get the full value out of these positions you have to recube on a wing and a prayer. 3a 7a or greater don't even bother trying to find the window with so much lopsided contact left. Of course you can cube a human all day every day here as for the most part you'll be marking another point on your scoresheet.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 193
11 point match
pip: 124
score: 8

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a---BC-CB--ca---aac-bbaBC:0:0:-1:00:0:8:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.64% (G:56.01% B:18.77%) 74.82% (G:55.91% B:37.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.36% (G:1.64% B:0.10%) 25.18% (G:1.71% B:0.11%)
Cubeless Equities +1.123 +1.368
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.940±0.012 (+0.928..+0.951)
Double/Take:+0.837 (-0.103)±0.025 (+0.812..+0.862)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.060)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 38.7%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66784673
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 42 minutes

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