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Cube action ATS?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 3 September 2013, at 3:19 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)

The take point for 4a at 4a 3a is ~23%. Gammon values are rounded at 1.00 for the 4a player and .500 for the 3a player.

I'd guess that White wins ~28% gammons (28 * .5 = 14%) and Black wins about 8% (8 * 1 = 8%) So the net difference is 14-8 or 6% that we need to add to get our fully adjusted take point. (23 + 6 = 29% fatp)

This looks pretty standard as far as early game blitz positions go so I'm sure we have a take guessing we win in the low 30% range. I'm not sure if it's technically a cube but I know OtB I'd be doubling everyone. D/T.

Stick

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