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4 point holding game - cube action?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 2 October 2013, at 6:23 p.m.

In Response To: 4 point holding game - cube action? (Daniel Murphy)

At 4a 5a, the leader's takepoint is about 20 and the trailer's is about 25. I'm not seeing many gammons for either side, so I'll ignore those.

Does blue have 20% here? I think so. He doesn't have much in the way of race equity, but the shot equity looks to be between 20 and 25%.

But it's reasonably close and white has market losers so I say ship it.

If the scores were reversed, I'd pass. For money, it looks like a toss up. Except for those lopsided scores where you don't want to give your opponent a chance to hand you a four cube, I'd say it's a double.

D/T cubeless GWC ~235.

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