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RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 12 November 2013, at 1:09 p.m.

In Response To: End game cube from VA (neilkaz)

I suspect this may be a borderline cube since XG is making some slightly bad takes later on. Of course there's also the chance to get a pass here, although cubing now, gives up on the chance to get a bad take or pass later. Anyhow, my actual take looks clear.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 51
11 point match
pip: 138
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bBCBC---A----A----A-A-eA:1:1:1:00:4:3:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.819% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 79.394% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.181% (G:6.007% B:0.695%) 20.606% (G:5.976% B:1.331%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4999 +1.0417
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.9042±0.0040 (+0.9003..+0.9082)
Redouble/Take:+0.8911 (-0.0131)±0.0052 (+0.8859..+0.8963)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0958)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.8%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 02 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.192.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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