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Your move ?

Posted By: HOMINID
Date: Tuesday, 3 December 2013, at 6:48 p.m.

In Response To: Your move ? (Stick)

Many positional problems can be resolved by using roll odds. On playing 22/16 it was glaring obvious that the 3 point would be pointed on by about 25 rolls. The blot on the 10 point woud be hit by 15 rolls. Add them together that makes 40 rolls lol. Or to put it another way virtually 100 % that the axe would fall.

You gotta get the axe by hitting the blot on the 3 point. The chances of being hit on reentry are about 21 rolls or about 58%. Say no more whats the best risk nigh on 100% or 58%. This is a simple way of arriving at a good play for this position. Theres still plenty of play here QED

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