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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Friday, 24 January 2014, at 11:21 a.m.

In Response To: Four Back Game Checker Plays Plus Cube (Paul Weaver)





White is shimohei

score: 5
pip: 146
9 point match
pip: 135
score: 5

Blue is peever
XGID=-b--CBC-BA--cBa---bcbAbA--:0:0:1:00:5:5:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.06% (G:21.92% B:3.49%) 62.21% (G:21.35% B:5.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.94% (G:11.92% B:0.78%) 37.79% (G:11.94% B:1.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.432 +1.012
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.630±0.023 (+0.607..+0.653)
played Double/Take:+0.600 (-0.030)±0.030 (+0.570..+0.629)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.370)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:94.4%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is shimohei

score: 5
pip: 169
9 point match
pip: 121
score: 5

Blue is peever
XGID=-aacCBCB-B--aB----abbbbA--:1:-1:1:65:5:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 65

1.xgRollout123/18* 18/12* eq: +1.033
Player:
Opponent:		71.22% (G:49.37% B:16.29%)
28.78% (G:2.84% B:0.57%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (+1.014...+1.052) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 22 seconds
2.playedRollout123/12* eq: +0.971 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		72.48% (G:43.30% B:11.52%)
27.52% (G:3.06% B:0.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.956...+0.986) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 25 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is shimohei

score: 5
pip: 179
9 point match
pip: 93
score: 5

Blue is peever
XGID=-AcdCBBBBBA----------cbab-:1:-1:1:64:5:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 64

1.xgRollout110/6 7/1eq: +1.244
Player:
Opponent:		78.17% (G:46.50% B:15.18%)
21.83% (G:0.69% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+1.229...+1.259) - [99.9%]
Duration: 4 minutes 23 seconds
2.playedRollout110/4 9/5eq: +1.209 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		77.55% (G:45.52% B:14.85%)
22.45% (G:0.88% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+1.193...+1.224) - [0.1%]
Duration: 4 minutes 19 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is shimohei

score: 5
pip: 179
9 point match
pip: 83
score: 5

Blue is peever
XGID=-AcdDCBBBA-----------cbab-:1:-1:1:62:5:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 62

1.xgRollout17/5 7/1eq: +1.075
Player:
Opponent:		72.81% (G:47.40% B:16.20%)
27.19% (G:0.95% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (+1.058...+1.092) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds
2.playedRollout19/1eq: +1.023 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		71.79% (G:46.23% B:16.96%)
28.21% (G:1.38% B:0.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (+1.006...+1.039) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is shimohei

score: 5
pip: 178
9 point match
pip: 75
score: 5

Blue is peever
XGID=-BcdDCBBB------------bcab-:1:-1:1:64:5:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 64

1.xgRollout18/4 7/1eq: +0.921
Player:
Opponent:		69.18% (G:46.23% B:17.26%)
30.82% (G:2.82% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.901...+0.940) - [99.9%]
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
2.playedRollout17/1 5/1eq: +0.875 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		68.86% (G:44.50% B:13.37%)
31.14% (G:1.78% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.856...+0.895) - [0.1%]
Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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