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21$-62 P2a — too good

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 3:38 p.m.

In Response To: 21$-62 — Rollout data for every score in a 5pt match (Taper_Mike)

This is off topic to the post. Note that P2a is not listed as being like DMP. Nor is it D/P. It is too good to double. The double slot is the best way to play the second roll in anticipation of it being too good. Note that the best three rolls hold the anchor.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 164 2 point match pip: 167 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:62:1:0:0:2:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	13/7 6/4	eq: -1.0165
	Player: Opponent: 44.21% (G:13.20% B:1.04%) 55.79% (G:18.10% B:2.61%) Conf.: ±0.0030 (-1.0195...-1.0135) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 hours 41 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: -1.0281 (-0.0115)
	Player: Opponent: 43.66% (G:12.91% B:1.00%) 56.34% (G:18.15% B:2.34%) Conf.: ±0.0032 (-1.0313...-1.0249) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 hours 13 minutes
3.	Rollout2	13/5	eq: -1.0364 (-0.0199)
	Player: Opponent: 43.70% (G:12.73% B:0.89%) 56.30% (G:17.18% B:2.12%) Conf.: ±0.0044 (-1.0407...-1.0320) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 08 minutes
4.	Rollout2	24/22 13/7	eq: -1.0364 (-0.0199)
	Player: Opponent: 44.52% (G:12.28% B:0.91%) 55.48% (G:17.39% B:1.23%) Conf.: ±0.0044 (-1.0409...-1.0320) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 00 minute
5.	Rollout2	24/18 13/11	eq: -1.0399 (-0.0234)
	Player: Opponent: 44.97% (G:11.74% B:1.05%) 55.03% (G:18.23% B:1.54%) Conf.: ±0.0051 (-1.0450...-1.0348) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 56 minutes
6.	Rollout2	24/16	eq: -1.0559 (-0.0394)
	Player: Opponent: 44.13% (G:11.29% B:1.16%) 55.87% (G:18.21% B:1.32%) Conf.: ±0.0053 (-1.0612...-1.0506) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 27 minutes
7.	Rollout2	24/22 24/18	eq: -1.0730 (-0.0565)
	Player: Opponent: 44.13% (G:11.02% B:1.04%) 55.87% (G:19.44% B:1.14%) Conf.: ±0.0058 (-1.0788...-1.0672) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 49 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Dice Seed: 72318507 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Dice Seed: 72318507 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• 21$, 62?
  Snua -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 12:34 p.m.
  • 21$, 62?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 3:05 p.m.
  • 21$-62 Rollout
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 3:57 p.m.
    • 21$-62 Rollout
      Snua -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 4:09 p.m.
  • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 September 2013, at 11:32 p.m.
    • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
      Snua -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 12:24 a.m.
      • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
        Matt Reklaitis -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 6:54 a.m.
  • 21$-62 4 ply RO result
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 8:05 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Gammon Save — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:36 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Gammon Go — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:40 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Double Match Point — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:45 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Index to Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Friday, 27 September 2013, at 12:40 a.m.
      • Correcting Bot Info for Neil’s 4-ply Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 29 September 2013, at 12:37 p.m.
  • 21$-62 +/+ Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 27 September 2013, at 5:50 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Where Shall We Place N?
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 28 September 2013, at 11:22 p.m.
  • 21$-62 — Rollout data for every score in a 5pt match
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 2:19 p.m.
    • Correction: R = 24/16
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 3:03 p.m.
    • 21$-62 P2a — too good
      David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 3:38 p.m.
    • Very Interesting!
      Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 5:35 p.m.