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21$-62 +/+ Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 27 September 2013, at 5:50 p.m.

In Response To: 21$, 62? (Snua)

Only 1296 trials but sometimes I like to check that higher settings from the beginning of a game produce basically the same results as the lower ones. There's still enough variance in mine but I think we can safely say given the absolute equities that things will likely line up like Neil's 4 ply rollout if we were to continue it. If anyone has a really desire to have the top 3 plays extended let me know and in my down time I'll let it run.

Remember the study which shows us the relative strength of different ply rollouts.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 164 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	24/18 13/11	eq: -0.292
	Player: Opponent: 43.93% (G:11.02% B:0.54%) 56.07% (G:18.86% B:0.86%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.303...-0.281) - [74.0%] Duration: 12 hours 48 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/22 13/7	eq: -0.299 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 43.18% (G:11.46% B:0.62%) 56.82% (G:17.53% B:0.80%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.310...-0.287) - [19.1%] Duration: 12 hours 16 minutes
3.	Rollout1	13/7 6/4	eq: -0.304 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 43.44% (G:12.25% B:0.57%) 56.56% (G:18.14% B:1.33%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.318...-0.290) - [6.9%] Duration: 13 hours 10 minutes
4.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: -0.320 (-0.028)
	Player: Opponent: 42.90% (G:12.13% B:0.64%) 57.10% (G:18.16% B:1.17%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.332...-0.309) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 hours 30 minutes
5.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -0.323 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 42.78% (G:12.01% B:0.62%) 57.22% (G:18.11% B:1.10%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.336...-0.310) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 hours 47 minutes
6.	Rollout1	24/16	eq: -0.327 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 43.21% (G:10.37% B:0.51%) 56.79% (G:18.68% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.338...-0.315) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 hours 30 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 76175803 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• 21$, 62?
  Snua -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 12:34 p.m.
  • 21$, 62?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 3:05 p.m.
  • 21$-62 Rollout
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 3:57 p.m.
    • 21$-62 Rollout
      Snua -- Monday, 23 September 2013, at 4:09 p.m.
  • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 September 2013, at 11:32 p.m.
    • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
      Snua -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 12:24 a.m.
      • 21$-62 4 pl RO so far
        Matt Reklaitis -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 6:54 a.m.
  • 21$-62 4 ply RO result
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 September 2013, at 8:05 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Gammon Save — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:36 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Gammon Go — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:40 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Double Match Point — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 26 September 2013, at 11:45 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Index to Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Friday, 27 September 2013, at 12:40 a.m.
      • Correcting Bot Info for Neil’s 4-ply Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 29 September 2013, at 12:37 p.m.
  • 21$-62 +/+ Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 27 September 2013, at 5:50 p.m.
    • 21$-62 — Where Shall We Place N?
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 28 September 2013, at 11:22 p.m.
  • 21$-62 — Rollout data for every score in a 5pt match
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 2:19 p.m.
    • Correction: R = 24/16
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 3:03 p.m.
    • 21$-62 P2a — too good
      David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 3:38 p.m.
    • Very Interesting!
      Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 12 February 2014, at 5:35 p.m.