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21$-62 — Index to Rollouts

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 27 September 2013, at 12:40 a.m.

In Response To: 21$-62 4 ply RO result (neilkaz)


2O ' ' '1X4X '3X ' '1X5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '4X
XGID=-b----E-C---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10

21$-62 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
[Bot Aggregate] [Not posted] [Not posted] [S Z6 N11] a [Aggregate]
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply [Stick 46k + Stick 46k + Stick 5k] –289.1 [Z N1 S2 $19 D27 R32] /46**5 BgOnline.org
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply [Stick 46k + Stick 46k + Stick 5k] –289.1 [Z S2 N3 $19 D27 R32] /46*93 5 [GnuBg Aggregate]
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 1073706349 –307.7 [$] /5 Stick
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 982761661 –290.5 [N D26 R31] /46 5 Stick
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 983289024 –289.1 [Z S2 N5] /46 Stick
Jellyfish [Not posted] [Not posted] [S Z11 $11 D14 R14 N16 U30] — Jellyfish, 7200 trials [Unknown]
Snowie 4.x.x 3-ply [Not posted] [Not posted] [S Z10 N19 $22 D22 R13 U31 W72] ~56*****20 5 [Snowie Aggregate]
Snowie 4.x.x 3-ply, Cubeful (not Live Cube) [Not posted] [Not posted] [Z S5 N7] ~41 — Cubeful; not Live Cube [Snowie Aggregate]
Snowie 4.x.x 3-ply Trunc [Not posted] [Not posted] [Z S3 N7] ~t Nack Ballard
Snowie 4.x.x 3-ply [Random seed] –295 [Z=S N14] ~5 BgOnline.org
XG 1.xx 3-ply [Not posted] [Not posted] [S N10 Z11] '<15 Nack Ballard
XG 1.xx 3-ply [Not posted] [Not posted] [S Z10 N12 $21 D26 R28 U43] '<62**31 Nack Ballard
XG 1.xx 3-ply, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross 1 –297.5 [S Z5] '<5 Dmitriy Obukhov
XG 1.12 4-ply 1 –292 [S Z9 N15 D20 R36] '^19*7 5 2 Neil Kazaross
XG 2.xx 3-ply 22080951 –289.0 [S Z9 N15 D22 $26 R31 U44] "<62**31*15 10 David Rockwell
XG 2.00 3-ply 6828926 –280.3 [S N20 Z23 D30 R39 $45 U46] "<5 10 5 Chris Yep
XG 2.10.192.pre-release 3-ply 78623594 –290.9 [S N7 Z9 D18 R28] "^32*15 5 Neil Kazaross

21$-62 — Double Match Point
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 824068618 –114.554 d[S N9 Z10] /10 Stick
XG 1.xx 3-ply [Not posted] [Not posted] d[S N7 Z11 D17 U18 R18 $20] '<31*25 15**10 David Rockwell
XG 2.03 3-ply, MET: Kazaross XG2 7557664 –114.5 d[S N7 R16 D16 Z17 $18 U21] "<15*2 Miran Tuhtan
XG 2.01 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 741976 –114.9 d[S N7 Z14 R18 U23] "<=10 Tommy Nesbakk

21$-62 — Gammon Go
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 810512563 +127.323 g[D N1 Z6 $13 S14] /5 Stick
XG 1.xx 3-ply 1 +121.8 g[N S10 D12 Z13 $14] '<8 Kye Hedlund
XG 2.xx 3-ply 94959920 +127.7 g[N D10 Z16 S17 $18 R54] "<31*20**5 David Rockwell
XG 2.01 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 741976 +128.1 g[N D10 Z18 S18 $20] "<=17 Tommy Nesbakk

21$-62 — Gammon Save
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 813904730 –498.081 s[Z S13] /10 David Rockwell
XG 2.xx 3-ply 17572190 –500.1 s[N Z2 $10 S13 D15 R23 U36] "<31****15 10 David Rockwell
XG 2.01 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 741976 –500.4 s[N Z2 $10 S13 D15 R22] "<=46*9 Tommy Nesbakk

Key: $ = Slot [13/5], D = Down [13/9 13/7], N = Near [13/7 6/4], R = Run [24/14], S = Split [24/18 13/11],
U = Up [24/22 24/18], W = Wild [24/18 6/4], Z = Reverse split [24/22 13/7]

Explanation of nacbracs

N Does Better in 4-ply Rollout

In comparing Neil’s 4-ply rollout in UG with the two other XG2 rollouts, a question comes to mind.

In David’s 62k rollout N trails by 0.0146. In Chris Yep’s 5k rollout, N trails by 0.0201. Both are margins that might cause one to reject those plays. Yet in Neil’s rollout, N is “tied,” trailing by only 0.0073.

Should we attribute the difference to the 3-ply cube decisions used in David’s and Chris’ rollouts, or is it primarily due to checker play differences at 3-ply?

I am inclined to think the former.

Mike

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