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63S-11N-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 5:20 a.m.

In Response To: 63S-11N-F-C? (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BCBA---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.53% (G:22.06% B:1.22%) 65.64% (G:23.05% B:1.31%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.47% (G:8.05% B:0.36%) 34.36% (G:8.15% B:0.38%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.459 +0.942
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.693±0.005 (+0.688..+0.698)
Double/Take:+0.672 (-0.021)±0.007 (+0.665..+0.679)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.307)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.9%
Rollout details
6920 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22204586
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 days 03 hours 05 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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